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3D Forward stratigraphic modelling of Previous HitcarbonateNext Hit settings

By

 Kees van der Zwan1, Henne Lammers1, Jean Borgomano2

(1) SIEP-SEPTAR, Rijswijk, Netherlands (2) Shell EP Technical Application and Research, Rijswijk, Netherlands

 3D Forward stratigraphic modeling is used to predict the presence and quality of reservoirs, source rocks and seals both on an exploration and production scale. The main input parameters to model any depositional settings are: (1) tectonic subsidence, (2) initial bathymetry, (3) eustatic sealevel and (4) sediment supply. In a Previous HitcarbonateNext Hit setting this parameter reflects in situ production of Previous HitcarbonateNext Hit.

In Shell we use the software package DIONISOS, which has been developed in a consortium with IFP. A model was built in DIONISOS for the Cretaceous Previous HitcarbonateNext Hit platform in the Middle East. Various scenarios were used to test the sensitivity of the main input parameters. 3rd, 4th and 5th order sea level fluctuations were combined with the Previous HitcarbonateNext Hit growth potential for various “Rudist” platform Previous HitfaciesNext Hit, such as “Rudist” shoals, “Orbitulina” Wackestone and deeper shelf. Evaluation shows that the most important parameter is “accommodation space”. Less impact has changes in Previous HitcarbonateTop growth potential. For comparison we have build a model for a Tertiary build-up setting.

The above case studies show good matches between the predicted and observed stratigraphy based on seismic and well data. Initial program testing results look promising and suggest forward modelling to be a valuable tool to predict reservoir, source rock and seal distribution both on an exploration and production scale.