Evaluation of Coal Seam Permeability in Marginal Reservoirs
Recent increases in gas sales prices have made marginal coal
gas reservoirs commercially viable. As a result, operators have been completing
coal seams that in the past would have been considered to have natural fracture
permeability too low to be exploited. These marginal reservoirs are typically
stimulated by hydraulically fracturing to increase gas productivity. Due to the
high cost of stimulation and the need to minimize costs to exploit marginal
reservoirs, it is important to avoid stimulation of coal seams that will not
yield commercial gas
production
rates. Pre-stimulation water injection-falloff
testing
of multiple seams considered for stimulation in a single well has
proven to reduce overall costs. Avoidance of stimulation of one seam generally
results in completion cost savings that are greater than the cost of the
testing
program.
We improved methods analyzing water injection-falloff tests
performed in lower permeability coal seams to increase reservoir pressure and
natural fracture permeability estimate accuracy. In many cases, water
injection-falloff tests, which are the most common permeability evaluation
method, increase the permeability several times above the permeability that
will control
production
in marginal seams. It is easy to misinterpret these
data to expect substantially greater post-stimulation productivity than
possible. Our analysis method is based upon history matching both the injection
and falloff data with mathematical models that account for the permeability
changes. The analysis also results in in-situ natural fracture porosity
estimates. Porosity estimates can be used to predict the volume of water that
will be produced.