Remaining Oil and Natural Gas Resources of New
Mexico
BROADHEAD, RONALD F., New
Mexico
Bureau of Geology and Mineral Resources, A Division of
New
Mexico
Tech Socorro, NM 87801
New
Mexico
has produced 5.2 billion bbls of crude oil and 56
trillion cubic ft3 of natural gas since production of these resources began in the
1920’s. During 2002, 67 million bbls oil and 1.6 trillion ft3 gas were produced in
New
Mexico
. Available estimates of undiscovered resources indicate a minimum of 1.48
billion bbls oil and between 68 and 89 trillion ft3 gas remain to be produced in the
state. That is between 32 and 45 years of production for natural gas and 22 years of
production for crude oil at present rates of production. In the case of oil, especially,
this is a minimum figure because of the limitations involved in estimating an unknown
resource that can be neither seen nor measured directly.
The Reserve Life Index (the ratio of proved reserves to annual
production) has been relatively stable for the past two decades at approximately 12 years
for natural gas and 10 years for oil. The stability of the Reserve Life Indices of oil and
gas indicates that new, previously unproven resources are being discovered and brought
into production at a rate that replaces production. In the case of gas, this is due
chiefly to the discovery and development of coalbed methane whose contribution to annual
New
Mexico
production has grown from 0% in 1987 to 38% in 1996 and still provides 30% of
the state’s gas production today.
Significant volumes of crude oil and natural gas remain to be
produced in New
Mexico
. Most of the existing resource base is not in proved reserves in
known oil and gas fields. Rather, it occurs as undiscovered resources that will only be
found and produced through application of sophisticated exploration methodologies and
concepts and, ultimately, drilling. Production of oil and gas will decline unless new
reserves of oil and gas are discovered, developed, and produced.
Oil and gas prices will affect what will actually be discovered and produced. Lower rates of discovery and production are associated with periods of low prices and higher rates of discovery and production are associated with periods of high prices.