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Geothermal Gradients and Subsurface Temperatures in the Northern Gulf of Mexico*
By
Joseph Forrest1, Ettore Marcucci1 and Paul Scott2
Search and Discovery Article #30048 (2007)
Posted February 25, 2007
*Adapted from article prepared for presentation at GCAGS Convention, New Orleans, September, 2005, which was canceled due to Hurricane Katrina. Article is published in GCAGS Transactions, 2005, v. 55, p. 233-248. Appreciation is expressed to GCAGS for permission to post this article.
1Resource GeoServices LLC, 10700 Richmond Ave., Houston, Texas 77042 ([email protected])
2Marathon Oil Company, 5555 San Felipe Road, Houston, Texas 77056
Abstract
Geothermal gradients have been calculated in 1131 fields and wells, and a map
has been prepared showing the below-mudline depth to the 300oF
subsurface isotherm over the northern Gulf of Mexico. Since the 300oF
isotherm values are a direct reflection of thermal gradient, thermal
conductivity, and heat flow, the map may be considered as a portrayal of
subsurface temperature distribution. Based on interpreted vertical and
horizontal temperature patterns, the northern Gulf can be subdivided into six
thermal
domains
. The Texas shelf domain shows the highest subsurface
temperatures with a pattern of elongate, northeast-trending isotherm contours
related to the regional pattern of faulting. A prominent temperature high
perpendicular to the regional trend may reflect the southeast-plunging San
Marcos arch. The High Island domain coincides with a late Miocene depocenter and
has anomalously low temperatures caused by either a deep overpressure zone or
shallow thermal conductive zone. Moderately high temperatures and a pattern of
isotherm contours related to salt features characterize the Louisiana shelf
domain. The Mississippi Canyon domain coincides with the Mississippi fan and
displays very low temperatures due to thermal suppression from thick, rapid
Quaternary sedimentation. The Walker Ridge domain coincides with the
Texas-Louisiana slope and has the coolest temperatures found to date in the
northern Gulf. The Alaminos Canyon domain falls within the Northwest slope and
the Perdido diapir provinces and displays temperatures intermediate in value
between the Texas shelf and Walker Ridge
domains
.
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Figure and Table Captions
Approximately 44,000 oil and gas exploratory and development wells have been drilled in the US Federal waters of the northern Gulf of Mexico since 1947 (Figure 1). These wells have encountered a variety of temperature conditions that range from abnormally low to abnormally high, indicating that the pattern of subsurface heat in the basin is complex. Limited data has been published documenting temperatures in specific wells, fields, or local areas, but the only regional temperature analyses of the area are modeling studies that predict timing of hydrocarbon maturation by tracing temperature evolution (Mello and Karner, 1996; Jones and Nagihara, 2003; Jones et al., 2003). No studies exist that show the detailed regional distribution of present-day temperatures. This study summarizes our work in putting together a map illustrating subsurface thermal conditions in the northern Gulf and presents preliminary interpretation of the spatial temperature patterns. Ideally such an analysis would be carried out using equilibrium bottom-hole temperatures (BHTs) measured from each well during geophysical logging runs. BHTs are sporadically recorded on the well log headers, but they have not been digitized or summarized in a systematic manner that is publicly available. In addition, very few, if any, wells have recorded the data necessary to calculate equilibrium BHT values. Publicly released wells are available through the Minerals Management Service (MMS), but the number of logs exceeds 250,000 for the 44,000 wells drilled. The time and expense necessary to purchase and process these logs would be excessive. We therefore have relied on publicly available data on average sand temperatures in fields calculated by the Minerals Management Service supplemented by data from 90 wells. The result of our analysis is a map that illustrates below-mudline (BML) depths to the 300-degree (BMLD300) subsurface isotherm throughout the northern Gulf. This map can be considered as a portrayal of subsurface temperature distribution, as the BMLD300 values are a direct reflection of thermal gradient, thermal conductivity, and heat flow. The map illustrates the complexity of subsurface temperatures in the northern Gulf. In some cases this complexity can be related to known geological conditions, but in other cases the relationship is ambiguous. The most serious shortcomings of the map are (1) its dependence on average values for calculating thermal gradients, (2) a mixed source of original temperature values (derived from both non-equilibrium BHT data measured during logging runs and temperatures measured during bottom-hole pressure surveys) and (3) the relative paucity of data in deep-water areas (>1,000 ft of water depth). Despite these weaknesses we feel the map documents valid regional variations in temperature distribution and provides a good tool for estimating temperatures for drilling and for basin-analysis work. The map will be improved over time as new and more accurate data becomes available.
Geothermal Gradients in the Northern Gulf of MexicoIt is well established that temperatures increase with depth in the Earth, indicating that heat is generated at depth and transferred through rock and sediment layers to the surface. This so-called terrestrial heat flow is described by the following equation:
where:
Qz = Heat flow per unit area in the vertical direction l = Thermal conductivity
Blackwell and Richards (2004) present the most recent interpretation of heat flow in the Gulf of Mexico as part of their Geothermal Map of North America, but little data on thermal conductivity is available for the region. The thermal maturation modeling studies that have proliferated in recent years require thermal conductivities over an entire stratigraphic section as an input to calculate heat flow. For the most part these values are estimated from wells logs or extrapolated from analogous geological settings. Thermal conductivity values used in the studies are rarely published as part of a basic documenting data set. Since heat flow and thermal conductivity data are rarely available for petroleum applications, bottom-hole temperatures measured in boreholes are the principal basis for calculating geothermal gradients. The basic equation for the calculation, and the method utilized in this study, is as follows:
Problem of Mean Annual Surface TemperatureIn calculating geothermal gradient using equation 2 a value of mean annual surface temperature is subtracted from the measured BHT before being divided by the formation depth. The mean annual surface temperature serves as an approximation of temperature at the top of the rock-sediment column. For the Texas Gulf Coast area an annual mean surface temperature of 68-70°F is typically applied. Because of the intervening water column, the air temperature in offshore areas does not truly reflect temperature at the top of the rock-sediment column (i.e., the mudline) and, therefore, may produce spurious results in geothermal gradient calculations. This is especially true in deep-water areas, where the mean air temperature at the water surface may be considerably higher than the temperature at the seafloor, or mudline. For the present study, we have used the mean annual temperature at the mudline as the “surface temperature,” thus eliminating the misleading influence of a water column that is not in thermal equilibrium with the underlying rock-sediment section. This standard has also been adopted recently by both API Subcommittee 10 for estimating subsurface temperatures for cementing and API Subcommittee 13 for estimating subsurface temperatures for calculating the true density and viscosity properties of drilling fluids at actual well-bore temperatures. Good data is available for water temperatures versus depth through the World Ocean Database (http://www.nodc.noaa.gov/OC5/SELECT/dbsearch/dbsearch.html). This data consists of mean annual water temperature-depth profiles gathered over many years from the world’s oceans by the US National Ocean and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). For the northern Gulf of Mexico 3495 profiles containing over 70,000 data points were obtained and used in this study. A plot of the data points is shown in Figure 2. We have averaged the data values for successive depth increments of 100 feet, and these average values are plotted in Figure 3. Below 3800-3900 feet the average annual water temperature falls asymptotically to a constant value of around 40° F (4.4º C) that prevails to abyssal depths. The gradient calculated for each field or well is based therefore on a mud-line temperature that reflects the water depth at which the field or well occurs. The resulting BML geothermal gradient is a better reflection of heat flow and thermal conductivity in the field or well, without the misleading influence of the water column with its reversed (temperature decreasing with depth) and unrelated thermal gradient.
Calculating Geothermal Gradients and BMLD300 ValuesTwo sources of data were used to derive geothermal gradients from which the BMLD300 was calculated:
The main data source was the Minerals Management Service’s 2001 publication “Atlas of Northern Gulf of Mexico Gas and Oil Sands.” In that work the MMS calculated a series of weighted reservoir parameters for sands in fields recognized as of January 1999. The MMS defined a “sand” as all productive formations in a field that are geologically correlative. Reservoir characteristics for all sands were calculated, weighted according to the relative importance of the reservoir in the field, and averaged. A particular sand’s temperature may be derived from many wells in a field or from only one well, if only one produces from the formation. Depth values assigned to the temperatures are weighted average sub-sea TVD values of the wells producing from the sand. Average weighted values obviously do not reflect all possible variation in temperatures in a field. However, as discussed in an earlier section, obtaining a regional grid of good static bottom-hole temperatures from wells is essentially impossible in the Gulf. We recognize the weakness in the data, but feel strongly that it still allows a valid regional overview of temperature distribution. An obvious advantage of the MMS data set is its large size (13,000 average sand temperatures from 1041 fields) and its good regional distribution. Locations of the fields that were used are shown in Figure 4. Since the data available from the MMS Atlas publication covers only fields recognized up to January 1999, it was necessary to add data from individual wells to give better coverage to deep-water areas, which have a limited number of fields. We reviewed 4500 logs from 250 deep-water wells in which the BML total depth was at least 15,000 feet or greater. Only 90 wells were found to have usable temperature data. The distribution of the wells used is shown in Figure 4. To calculate gradients, an Excel spreadsheet was developed that contained all data points for each field and well. The BML depth of each data point was calculated by subtracting the water depth from the average depth of the sand or the depth of the value in a well. The MMS data had already been converted to a sub-sea true vertical depth. We corrected the well data to TVD-SS using directional survey data from the log headers. An Excel macro was developed to plot data points from each field on a temperature- depth graph (Figures 5, 6 and 7, for examples). Each plot was examined and a gradient line or series of gradient lines was visually established and drawn through the points. The average annual mud-line temperature developed from the World Ocean Database was used as the shallowest point (‘annual mean surface temperature’). After establishing the gradient lines, values were extracted from each plot to calculate a gradient and a BMLD300 value (Figures 5, 6, and 7). If a field demonstrated dogleg gradients (see next section for discussion), the temperature of the deepest point above the deepest dogleg was recorded, and the gradient of this last step was used to calculate the depth to reach 300°F in the field or well.
Dogleg Thermal GradientsA commonly observed phenomenon in the Gulf Coast and Gulf of Mexico is that geothermal gradients have two or more distinct linear segments, indicating that the gradient varies in a step-like fashion with depth. These gradient variations are often coincident, or near-coincident, with the top of overpressure in the stratigraphic section (Jones, 1969, Leftwich, 1993) or with a change in average thermal conductivity of the section (Blackwell and Steele, 1989). Hunt (1996) has referred to these zones of variable gradient as “dogleg geothermal gradients.” In this study multi-linear, or dogleg, geothermal gradients have been observed throughout the northern Gulf, but not in all fields and wells. In many fields the gradient trend shows no obvious change in rate (Figure 5). This may reflect the true gradient situation in the field, or the data may not extend deep enough to intersect an insulating or conducting zone (Lewis and Rose, 1970), such as an overpressure zone or zone of thermal conductivity change. The apparent non-occurrence of insulating zones in many plots may reflect as well the fact that geothermal gradients calculated in fields by the MMS are almost exclusively derived from sand reservoirs. The plots contain little or no temperature data from shales, which form the great bulk of the Gulf of Mexico’s stratigraphic section and are commonly the insulating zones. Multiple doglegs are interpreted to occur in many fields in the study (Figures 6 and 7). Though it was out of the scope of the present work, we feel that mapping the distribution of dogleg thermal gradient zones could be useful in determining regional patterns of overpressure and thermal conductivity change.
Subsurface Temperature Distribution in the Northern Gulf
Mapping BMLD300 ValuesTo map the BMLD300 values we used the field outlines published by the MMS in the 2001 Atlas study. A latitude-longitude centroid was calculated for each field and this was the point used to map the BMLD300 value in the field. Values for wells were plotted at the bottom-hole locations. Contouring was carried out initially with the automated contouring package Surfer 8.0 (trademark of Golden Software, Inc., 809 14th Street, Golden, CO 80401), using the Kriging method with a very dense gridding interval. Most of the fields in the Gulf of Mexico produce from multiple sands, and in many cases not all the sands in a field are stacked vertically; some sands may be located in a position displaced from the main body of the field. Every sand in a field was, therefore, assigned a centroid and the same BMLD300 value, so that displaced sands would be mapped within the contour value of the field. The results were good, but since each field area is represented in the gridding process by a single point, the boundary areas of some fields and sands are partially contained in adjacent contours. The completed Surfer map was converted to an ESRI (Environmental Systems Research Institute, Inc., 380 New York Street, Redlands, CA 92373) shapefile and loaded into ArcGIS 9.0 (trademark of ESRI). The contours were converted to closed polygons, and extraneous lines were cleaned up for final map presentation.
Distribution of Subsurface Temperatures in the GulfFigure 8 is the completed interpretation of BMLD300 values for the northern Gulf. The most remarkable aspect of temperature distribution is the distinct differentiation between shelf and deep-water areas. The shallowest BMLD300 values, and thus the highest thermal gradients and heat flow, occur on the Texas-Louisiana shelf, which is the area above 300 m (984 feet or approximately 1000 feet) water depth. At these water depths BMLD300 values range from 9700 feet to 45,000 feet, but these extremes are uncommon and restricted in occurrence; by far the most common depth range is 15,000– 19,000 feet. In the deep-water areas, below 300 m of water, the BMLD300 values range from 11,000 to 45,000+ feet, with most common range being from 21,000 to 37,000 feet. Further differentiations can be made within the deep-water areas between water depth-ranges of 300m-1000m and 1000m-2000m, but these distinctions are very subjective. In the shallower of these two ranges the BMLD300 values range from 11,000 to 45,000 feet, with the most common depths being 21,000 to 31,000 feet. Between 1000m and 2000m the BMLD300 values are 13,000 to 45,000+, with the most common values being from 21,000 to 37,000 feet. The average geothermal gradient, and therefore subsurface temperature, tends to be lower in the deep-water areas than on the shelf. This point is illustrated in Figure 9, which shows the range of BMLD300 values and the midpoint depth of the most prevalent range of BMLD300 for each protraction area in the northern Gulf (see Table 1 for summary). Though we feel that the general trend of cooler temperatures in deep-water areas is real, it should be noted that temperature patterns throughout the northern Gulf show a great range of variability. There are areas on the shelf that are nearly as cool as those in the deep- water, and areas in deep-water as warm as those on the shelf.
Temperature
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