[First Hit]

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AAPG Bulletin, Vol. 90 (2006), Program Abstracts (Digital)

7th Middle East Geosciences Conference and Exhibition
Manama, Bahrain
March 27-29, 2006

ABSTRACT: Stochastic Previous HitAVONext Hit Modeling and Bayesian Previous HitAVONext Hit Inversion to Predict Hydrocarbon vs. Brine Occurrence in Sand Reservoirs

Maurizio Cardamone
ENI - E&P Division, Via Emilia 1, San Donato Milanese 20097 Italy, [email protected]

This paper presents the summary of some 10 years long experience with a quite new approach at exploiting seismic Previous HitAVONext Hit information. The request for increased effectiveness and reliability and in general of a more advanced implementation of the Previous HitAVONext Hit method, capable of quantitatively predicting the distribution and characteristics of fluids, or even the petrophysical characteristics of the reservoir was set years ago as a top level development goal. This need has been targeted by implementing a bayesian inversion of seismic Previous HitAVONext Hit data, which is based upon a stochastic Previous HitAVONext Hit modelling phase, that allow “Previous HitinterpretationNext Hit-steered” extrapolation of known Previous HitAVONext Hit information from the available wells in the area. The method is aimed at determining the probability that an assigned Previous HitAVONext Hit response, measured from real pre -stack seismic data, can be ascribed to the presence of either brine, gas, oil in a sand reservoir, given the specific geological parameterization. The developed SW tool compares the real Previous HitAVONext Hit response at the several targets in the study area with a generalized I/G model, which takes into account the expected (or guessed) variability of all the petrophysical parameters which are expected to impact onto the Previous HitAVONext Hit phenomenon. This probabilistic model is developed through the statistical analysis of all available wireline logs and borehole processed data in a large area of interest. From a practical viewpoint, the Previous HitAVONext Hit Fluid Inversion allows effective and powerful extrapolation of the Previous HitAVOTop information to any new exploration target belonging to an homogeneous geologicalpetrophysical scenario. The computation results, typically provided in the form of fluid probability maps, represent a new way to leverage pre-stack seismic information to benefit the prospect generation and ranking process.

 

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