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The
Northern Sumatra
Earthquake
of 2004: Forty Years of Ignoring Plate Tectonics*
By
Arthur E. Berman1
Search and Discovery Article #70015 (2005)
Posted May 14, 2005
*Reprint of article with same title by the author in HGS Bulletin, February, 2005 (www.hgs.org), with slight modification in form only. It is presented here with the kind permission of the author and the Houston Geological Society.
1Director, Petroleum Reports.com (www.petroleumreports.com) ([email protected])
Discuss the significance of the calc-alkaline series.
That was the only question on my petrology mid-term examination in 1975. It was perhaps the most penetrating question I have ever been asked as a geologist. It is also the only exam question I remember from my academic years.
I went to the professor, Dr. Rudy Epis, after he returned the exams to discuss my low grade with him. I had written everything I knew about the granitic rocks that make up the calc-alkaline series and it was all correct. What I had failed to do was to answer the question. I had not discussed the significance of the calc-alkaline series.
I did not address the “granite problem.” Granite is a light-colored, relatively light-weight rock that contains a lot of quartz. Most of the Earth is made up of basaltic material, the opposite of granite: a dark, heavy rock without much quartz. Based on the overall composition of the Earth, there is just too much granite, and most of it is found on the continents. This has puzzled geologists since the science of geology began.
Epis explained that he was looking for a plate-tectonic explanation to the granite problem. Basically, the plate-tectonic model says that the Earth is a great factory. Earth is constantly recycling mostly oceanic, basaltic crust into ocean-trench subduction zones and generating granite by a kind of distillation process.
That discussion with Dr. Epis transformed me. I was awed, even overwhelmed, by the way his mind worked and the power of a scientific model—the plate-tectonic model, in this case—to collapse complexity into simplicity. I knew about plate tectonics and the calc-alkaline series separately. I had simply not connected the two in the elegant way he had. I entered his office a student concerned about a grade and left, in some way, a geologist. He made me see, perhaps for the first time, the importance of critical thinking. I promised myself to never again fail to seek the question within the question.
I thought about the conversation with Rudy Epis in early December 2004 as I began reading Simon Winchester’s Krakatoa, The Day the World Exploded: August 27, 1883. Winchester’s book is an entertaining, popular explanation of plate tectonic theory in the context of a cataclysmic volcanic explosion that occurred in Indonesia 121 years ago. Krakatoa had a profound affect on Victorian consciousness because invention of the telegraph made news of the eruption immediately known around the world.
On
December 26, 2004, the Northern Sumatra
Earthquake
occurred in the same tectonic
neighborhood as Krakatoa. The world is stunned by the death and destruction that
is coming to light from the
earthquake
and ensuing tsunami. The difference
between the past and present seismic events in Indonesia is that we understand
the current disaster because of the plate-tectonic model; in 1883, however,
geology did not yet have an Earth model or context to explain Krakatoa to a
frightened and confused world.
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Plate Tectonics and a Restless Earth
Plate tectonics was not new in 1975 when I was studying petrology from Rudy Epis, but it was a model still considered optional by many geologists: as with all new ideas, it takes time before any but the innovator and early adopter groups embrace a new invention (Berman, 2004k). The plate-tectonic model began in 1915 when Alfred Wegener published his observations on the fit between the continents minus the intervening, present-day ocean basins (the relationship had, in fact, been previously noted as early as 1620 by Francis Bacon). Wegener supported his theory of “continental drift,” that the continents had, at one time, been connected, with abundant and convincing biological evidence. Wegener’s work was scorned and ridiculed by the scientific community presumably because there was no mechanism to de-couple the crust from the underlying mantle and core of the Earth. Thomas Chamberlin, the American geologist famous for his address Method of Multiple Working Hypotheses (HGS Bulletin, v. 47, no. 2) apparently abandoned his thesis when he commented in 1923 on Wegener’s work, “If we are to believe this hypothesis we must forget everything we learned in the last seventy years and start over again,” (Winchester, 2003). Plate tectonics was revived after World War II due to wartime advances in measurement technology and instrumentation. A new Earth model evolved and was articulated in a series of key papers, notably by Dietz (1961), Wilson (1965), and Cox et al. (1967). The breakthrough came in late 1965 when Brent Dalrymple presented findings at a meeting of the Geological Society of America: he showed an exact match between terrestrial paleomagnetic measurements and seafloor magnetic reversal bands that had been identified in post-war ocean basin surveys (Figure 1). “It was indeed a revelation...and the start of a revolution in Earth science!” (Donnenfield and Howell, 2004). A mechanism was discovered for a crust in dynamic and perpetual motion, de-coupled from and, at the same time, interacting with the underlying mantle and core (Figure 2). Wegener’s concept was validated. The crust is divided into tectonic plates that move carrying continents along with them (Figure 3). Earth’s crust is constantly being destroyed and regenerated. On one end of a great crustal conveyor belt, new basaltic crust arises at mid-ocean ridges, spreading out the ocean basins by adding new seafloor. On the other end of the conveyor, oceanic crust is swept down into subduction zones at the peripheries of tectonic plates (Figure 4). Subducting oceanic crust is partly transformed into granitic material by partial melting and fractionation. Magmas that mix with water and carbon dioxide from sea water produce explosive volcanoes like Krakatoa. This was the significance of the calc-alkaline series.
Northern Sumatra
On December 25, 18:58:53 Central Standard Time (local Indonesia time
07:58:53, December 26) an
As I followed the news of the
The
Preliminary locations of larger aftershocks following the megathrust
Tsunami
Resulting from Northern Sumatra
The December 2004
A tsunami is a very large ocean wave train, or series of waves,
generated in a body of water by a vertical displacement of the ocean
water column. A tsunami is generally triggered by underwater When earthquakes occur beneath the sea, the water above the deformed area of the ocean floor is displaced. Waves are formed as the displaced water mass equilibrates (Figure 10). The seafloor uplift, in effect, acts like a gigantic wave machine. Tsunami-induced waves have unusually long wavelengths in excess of 100 kilometers and periods on the order of one hour. Tsunamis are generated in the open ocean and transformed into a train of catastrophic oscillations on the sea surface close to coastal zones. As the wave front reaches the shallow continental shelf, the friction of the seafloor slows the wave progressively from the bottom up. The upper part of the wave moves faster than the lower portion because of frictional drag on the rising seafloor. The wave crest lengthens and elevates until the front of the wave is steeper than the back side, and the wave breaks and collapses (Figure 11).
In the case of the Northern Sumatra
Preliminary information from the United States Geological Survey
National
Comparable large earthquakes in recent history include: 1) the magnitude
9.5 1960 Chile
Submarine Telegraph Cables: the Launch of the World Wide Web
Many people across the world quickly learned of the devastation wrought
by the Northern Sumatra The Atlantic and Pacific coasts of the United States were connected by telegraph later the same year. Most Americans knew about the end of the Civil War two hours after the South’s surrender. By contrast, Andrew Jackson fought the battle of New Orleans 20 days after a peace treaty ended the War of 1812. In the first half of the 19th century, electricity and electrical applications, beyond scientific research and novelty, were in their infancy. There was no reliable source of electricity. The voltaic cell could generate electricity only for a short time before accumulated hydrogen on the copper pole blocked the flow of current. It was not until the advent of the Daniell cell in 1836 that storage batteries became a possible source of electricity (Katz, 2004) and many years later before it was generally available. Batteries,” notes Bill Burns, an expert on telegraph history, were used on the early cable systems because there was no alternative. Useful generators (dynamos) were not developed until the 1870s but, even after that, the systems ran on batteries because of their reliability” (personal communication). The telegraph was really the first commercial application of electricity. No precedents for long distance, much less submarine, electrical transmission existed before the telegraph. The technology of electrical conductors and application of electrical signal propagation theory were at primitive levels in the 1840s when the first land telegraph cables were laid. Submarine cables required refinements in copper metallurgy and corresponding conductivity efficiency, development of Gutta Percha gum insulation (interestingly, discovered in the Malay Archipelago) and sophisticated approaches to cable armoring before early efforts were successful (Burns, 2004). Submarine telegraph cable networks began the World Wide Web of electronic communication. 1851 marked the first successful international telegraph cable, from Dover to Calais, and 1866 saw the first successful transatlantic cable, from Ireland to Newfoundland (Burns, 2004). In this 15-year period, telegraphic communication evolved from isolated national landline systems to a submarine cable network connecting much of the world (Figure 12). David Dudley Field remarked in 1879 on the 25th anniversary of his company’s contract to lay the Transatlantic Telegraph Cable: Though we then knew something of what we were doing, we did not know all. Events have outrun the imagination. Little did I dream that, within twenty years, I should stand beneath the Southern Cross and send from Australasia a message to my northern home, which, almost while I stood, passed over half the globe, darting with the speed of thought across the nearly two thousand miles of Australian desert, through the Arafura Sea, past the Isles of Ternate and Tidore (Indonesia), across the Bay of Bengal and the of Sea of Arabia, along the Red Sea coast, under the Mediterranean and Biscay’s sleepless bay, and finally beneath our own Atlantic to this island city (New York)” (Sprague, 1884).
Krakatoa Eruption, August 1883 The same telegraph cable network that Field mentioned in his 1879 address was used four years later to spread news of the Krakatoa explosion almost instantaneously around the world. Boston newspapers were printing the story within four hours of the eruption (Brianstorms, 2004). This was the first time in history that news of a catastrophe reached the whole world simultaneously and became, in some ways, a shared global experience.. On August 27, 1883, a volcanic explosion vaporized the island of Krakatoa in the Indian Ocean. The eruption blew apart that island in the Sunda Strait between Java and Sumatra (Figure 5) and produced modern history’s most powerful explosion—30 times stronger than the largest thermonuclear bomb. The blast was heard in Australia and Burma, thousands of kilometers from Krakatoa. The ash and pulverized rock blasted into the air circled the globe for a year, and the Earth’s weather patterns were disrupted for several years. A 40-meter tsunami inundated at least 100 villages on both sides of the Sunda Strait, killing an estimated 37,000 people (the death toll from the 2004 tsunami suggests this may have been a low estimate, based mostly on local effects of the tsunami, and not taking into account coastal regions elsewhere in the Indian Ocean). Until recently, a rusting Dutch warship could be seen 4 kilometers inland on a hillside on Java where the tsunami wave deposited it (Lekic, 2004). By any reckoning, Krakatoa was one of the largest explosive volcanic eruptions in the history of the planet (Figure 13) based on the volcanic explosivity index (VEI), a combination of measures shown in Table 1. A special committee of the Royal Society of London was established in early 1884 to document the eruption and explosion of Krakatoa and to provide some explanation. The committee’s final report was published in 1888 and contained nearly 500 pages of accounts of pressure and current measurements that permitted calculation of the speed of the tsunami that followed Krakatoa’s eruption: it was approximately 1125 km/hour the average speed of sound. The nearly 25 cubic kilometers of Krakatoa Island were gone, either blown into the atmosphere or collapsed into the ocean (Winchester, 2003). A great deal of the Society’s report is dedicated to accounts of the sunsets and pumice rafts produced by the explosion. The reasons for the explosion were not resolved by the Royal Society of London.
Forty Years of Ignoring Plate Tectonics
The plate-tectonic model now allows us to understand what the Royal Society could not. Krakatoa was located where the Australia/India Plate is subducting beneath the Burma/Sunda portion of the Eurasian Plate. Krakatoa was, in all respects except perhaps its magnitude, typical of subduction-related volcanoes: violent, highly explosive, granitic in composition and prone to ash, pumice and mud rather than to lava. Krakatoa was part of a chain of active volcanoes that includes the islands of Sumatra and Java (Figure 5). 94 percent of all active volcanoes in the world today are concentrated along subduction zones and Indonesia has more active volcanoes than any other country on Earth; there are 21 fully active volcanoes on the island of Java alone (Winchester, 2003). For decades, all that marked the site of the original 825-meter-high (2,640 feet) island was a tiny islet, renamed Rakata, that had survived the explosion. In 1930, a new volcano—Anak Krakatau, or the Child of Krakatau—broke through the water at the center of the old volcano, where the tectonic forces that led to the 1883 eruption are pushing magma upward at a rapid pace. Anak Krakatau is now growing almost 2 meters per year and has already reached a height of nearly 410 meters (1,320 feet) (Lekic, 2004). The dynamic subduction system is rapidly repairing the results of Krakatoa’s mighty blast.
The North Sumatra
The 2004 and 1883 events are also related because the world learned
about and experienced them almost immediately. News of Krakatoa was
available as a result of advances in telegraph technology. The Northern
Sumatra
Improvements in our ability to understand and communicate about
earthquakes and eruptions have done little to diminished the tragic
impact of these events. The December 2004 tsunami reached Sumatra’s
shores in less than an hour after the
Some would say advances in science and technology have gained nothing
because geological disasters such as the Northern Sumatra
I believe there was sufficient time to have warned people in many of the
locations affected by the tsunami following the
Many of the regions affected most by the tsunami are rural and
technologically backward. For populations without general access to
telecommunication technology and automotive transportation warnings may
not have been effective, especially given the short time between
awareness of the
I believe there have been at least 40 years to prepare for an event like
the Northern Sumatra
The plate-tectonic model clearly identifies subduction zones such as the
Malay Archipelago as regions of frequent
According to the USGS National
It should be part of every Indian Ocean country’s national emergency
plan to expect tsunamis produced by earthquakes in the Sunda-Java Trench
Subduction Zone. The fact that this is not the case should be cause for
serious debate and discussion after the initial phase of relief work has
been achieved in the aftermath of the recent Our knowledge and understanding of the earth have grown exponentially in the past 100 years,” noted Andrew Pulham while reviewing this document. I think we choose not to apply this knowledge, preferring to be impotent rather than being smart. Earth science is a global resource and one that is mostly open and shared. Perhaps we need global leaders to apply it to greatest effect. National leaders will unfortunately always default to the near in time and space” (personal communication, 2005). The history of science shows that discovery and invention is itself beyond prediction. It is impossible to know when science will be able to accurately anticipate earthquakes and related tsunamis. We have, however, made significant advances in understanding Earth’s tectonic behavior and can say with considerable accuracy where and within what ranges of magnitude seismic events are likely to occur. It is understandable that the typical victim of the recent tsunami disaster in the Indian Ocean may not have anticipated the tragic events that are still unfolding. It is inexcusable that their leaders and governments did not make efforts to inform and prepare their citizens for the inevitability of these occurrences at some point since the articulation of the plate-tectonic model 40 years ago.
‘Angel’ saved many from tsunami, 2005: The Times of India (January 4, 2005). Bellis, M., 2004, The history of the telegraph and telegraphy: About, Inc. Berman, A. E., 2004 (k), New ideas and their diffusion: Houston Geological Society Bulletin, v. 47, no. 4, p. 9-17. Boekelheide, Z, 2003, Modeling breaking waves: Scientific Computing, Harvey Mudd College Math 164 Student Projects. Brianstorms, 2004, Birdrock Ventures (March): http://www.brianstorms.com/archives/2004_04.html. Burns, B, 2004, History of the Atlantic cable and submarine telegraphy: from the first submarine cable of 1850 to the worldwide fiber optic network: Atlantic Cable Website. Colp, R., 1998, To be an invalid, redux: Journal of the History of Biology, v.31, p. 211-240. Cox, Allan, G.B. Dalrymple, and R.R. Doell, 1967, Reversals of the Earth’s magnetic field: Scientific American, v. 216, p. 44-54. Dietz, R.S., 1961, Continent and ocean basin evolution by spreading of the sea floor: Nature, v. 190, p. 30-41. Donnenfield, D., and D. Howell, 2004, The birth of plate tectonics theory: USGS. Expert: I tried to warn of tsunami, Monday, January 3, 2005, Cable News Network (CNN) LP, LLLP. Global Seismographic Network (GSN), 2004, Incorporated Research Institutions for Seismology, Washington, D. C. How a wave forms and moves, 1999, Princeton University Science Curriculum Support Project. How often do earthquakes occur?, 2004, Incorporated Research Institutions for Seismology, Washington, D.C. Katz, E., 2004, John Frederic Daniell: Biographies of famous electrochemists and physicists contributed to understanding of electricity. Keillor, G., 2004, The Writer’s Almanac: Monday, December 27 Episode: American Public Media, http://writersalmanac.publicradio.org/. Kious, W.J., and R.I. Tilling, 1996, This dynamic Earth: the story of plate tectonics: USGS, Washington, D. C. Lekic, S., 2004, Offspring of Krakatoa draws tourists: Associated Press, Myrtle BeachOnline.com. Morus, I.R., 2004, Electricity on show, spectacular events in Victorian London: Fathom Online Learning, Columbia University. NOAA, 2004, Tsunami arrival map, http//wcatwc.arh.noaa.gov/IndianOSite/IndianO12-26-04.htm
Preliminary Sprague, A.P., 1884, Speeches, arguments, and miscellaneous papers of David Dudley Field: D. Appleton and Company, New York. The physics behind the wave, Kent School District, Kent,WA. Tsunami wave travel time chart, 2005, Facility for Analysis and Comparison of Tsunami Simulations. Understanding plate motions, U.S. Geological Survey, 1999, http://pubs.usgs.gov/publications/text/understanding.html. Understanding the seas, 2004, National Institute of Oceanography, India (Goa).
University of Edinburgh
USGS National Wilson, T., 1965, A new class of faults and their bearing on continental drift: Nature, v. 207, p. 343-347. Winchester, S., 2003, Krakatoa: HarperCollins Publishers Inc., New York.
+Some online references may not be available with time.
Sincere thanks to Andrew Pulham, Tom Feldkamp, Joshua Rosenfeld and Frank Walles for their thoughtful comments and suggestions in preparation of this Editor's Letter |
