|
uIndustry
 prediction
uLoss
of corporate memory
uInformation
uProfessional
society node
uKnowledge
& societies
uKnowledge
in 21st century
uSuccessful
professional
uPublications
uKnowledge:
the legacy
uAAPG/Datapages
uBalancing
demand & supply
uApplications
uLearn
from the past
uIndustry
prediction
uLoss
of corporate memory
uInformation
uProfessional
society node
uKnowledge
& societies
uKnowledge
in 21st century
uSuccessful
professional
uPublications
uKnowledge:
the legacy
uAAPG/Datapages
uBalancing
demand & supply
uApplications
uLearn
from the past
uIndustry
prediction
uLoss
of corporate memory
uInformation
uProfessional
society node
uKnowledge
& societies
uKnowledge
in 21st century
uSuccessful
professional
uPublications
uKnowledge:
the legacy
uAAPG/Datapages
uBalancing
demand & supply
uApplications
uLearn
from the past
uIndustry
prediction
uLoss
of corporate memory
uInformation
uProfessional
society node
uKnowledge
& societies
uKnowledge
in 21st century
uSuccessful
professional
uPublications
uKnowledge:
the legacy
uAAPG/Datapages
uBalancing
demand & supply
uApplications
uLearn
from the past
uIndustry
prediction
uLoss
of corporate memory
uInformation
uProfessional
society node
uKnowledge
& societies
uKnowledge
in 21st century
uSuccessful
professional
uPublications
uKnowledge:
the legacy
uAAPG/Datapages
uBalancing
demand & supply
uApplications
uLearn
from the past
uIndustry
prediction
uLoss
of corporate memory
uInformation
uProfessional
society node
uKnowledge
& societies
uKnowledge
in 21st century
uSuccessful
professional
uPublications
uKnowledge:
the legacy
uAAPG/Datapages
uBalancing
demand & supply
uApplications
uLearn
from the past
uIndustry
prediction
uLoss
of corporate memory
uInformation
uProfessional
society node
uKnowledge
& societies
uKnowledge
in 21st century
uSuccessful
professional
uPublications
uKnowledge:
the legacy
uAAPG/Datapages
uBalancing
demand & supply
uApplications
uLearn
from the past
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Industry Prediction* of Workforce in 1996-- was it Correct?
·
1996 estimate of 400,000 geologists, engineers, and geophysicists in
energy
·
2000 forecast ~ 100,000 projected
·
2002 extrapolated < 80,000
·
2004 extrapolated < 50,000
If Workforce is growing in 2004 and beyond…where and how?
*
A.Anderson Consulting report, 1998, estimates excludes data from China.
University Enrollment
Lower enrollment in petroleum
Interdisciplinary requirements
Increased strain on industry workforce (Figure 1)
Figure 1. Special Agent Gumby falls into the frustrated hands of the
enemy.
Last 20 Years
Smaller Staffs
Mergers
Younger Staffs
Where do the mentors go (Figure 2)?
Figure 2. “Now, Larry, don’t think of this as a forced retirement ...
it’s more like we’re just putting you out to pasture.”
To fight this, companies:
Provide technology.
Use vendor specialists.
Interdisciplinary teams.
But it cannot come to this (Figure 3)!
Figure 3. “What are we working on? I’m from Breakthrough Temporaries.”
We need information access from:
Print publications
Digital publications
Online databases
People who “have done it”…the Mentors
Where to learn about these sources?
“Surf the Net”
Academia
Professional Societies
Need to know how people learn: graphic, audio, tactile.
Emphasize understanding “basics” and “case studies.”
Be a partner in digital archiving.
Show successful “Shortcuts.”
Mentor
and train.
The only difference between a library and dead storage is an index- Put
it to use!
Develop relevant publications.
Show people how to do it--Professional Development.
Help them experience the “hunt.”
Celebrate and learn from the past.
Figure 4. Institute for Advanced Hindsight: Research into what should
have been.
It is not efficient for every company to create its own library.
Societies (as publishers) have a responsibility to foster this activity
Societies can lead in professional development
Needs:
Rapid access to data
Ready-to-use formats
Interdisciplinary training
The challenge to think differently (Figure 5)
Figure 5. “Never, ever, think outside the box.” (From The New Yorker,
November 30, 1998.)
Needs to know:
Source of the data
Quality of the data
Technical information
Projection stats, etc.
Presented as quickly as possible
Documentation on how well the data were utilized
Where to go?
TGS has created Regional Guidebooks, Field Trips, Short Courses, a
Digest of Important Papers
AAPG provides more than 100 different products on technical and business
aspects of E&P
SEPM- petrology and paleo that documents key concepts.
SEG- important geophysical theory and application publications (digital
and print)
SPE- important knowledge on petroleum engineering, drilling topics
SPWLA- critical understanding on formation evaluation topics
When a society goes out of existence…
What happens to the knowledge?
What happens to the mentors?
Will the “wheel be re-discovered”?
Requirement of future generations…
Tap the knowledge by reading.
Listen to the oral histories.
Generate new ideas based on past experiences (LEARN!).
Collections Preservation
AAPG Bulletin
AAPG Special Publications
Journal of Sedimentary Research (SEPM)
Journal of Petroleum Geology (Scientific Press)
Gulf Coast Transactions (GCAGS)
Canadian (CSPG) Bulletin
Canadian (CSPG) Special Publications
New Orleans Geological Society
Lafayette Geological Society
Oklahoma City Geological Society
In process
Tulsa Geological Society
Ft. Worth Geol. Society
Kansas Geological Society
Wyoming Geological Association
others
Geophysics- 3D, 4D
Drilling- deeper, smarter
Gas utilization- GTL, Pipelines
Re-supply of offshore operations
Environmental Remediation
Trained work force
Deep Shelf, Gulf of Mexico
< 500 wells TD below 18,000’
North America, Onshore, Offshore
Gas; basin centered, CBM, low BTU
Revitalizing Mature Properties
UK Continental Shelf
Satellite fields tied to infrastructure
3D-defined prospects further from land
Russia, China, West Africa, Middle East
Don’t plug the dike with a straw.
Think about the aerodynamics of your kite (Figure
6)!
Figure 6. “Okay, Bob! Go! Go!”
Train, Mentor, Publish…It is Our True Responsibility.
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